Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+146/-188).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +152 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has attempted 7.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Jamal Murray has tallied 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
Jamal Murray has averaged 1.1 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's lowest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jamal Murray has shot and missed 4.6 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's missed from three overall this season when playing on the road.
The matchup against the Kings is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing squads have shot for the 7th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (36.7%).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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