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Jamal Murray

Jamal Murray Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jamal Murray has posted 6.0 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 96th percentile.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Jamal Murray stands to see an increase in production in all stat categories as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 34.0 rate, Jamal Murray's playing time has fallen this year to 28.5 minutes per game.

Jamal Murray has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (98th percentile).

The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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