Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/11/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 11, 2023

Updated Dec 12, 2023 12:23 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has posted 6.7 assists per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the NBA by this standard.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 0.0 rate, Jamal Murray's technical fouls have risen this season to 0.3 per game.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 13.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player performance across the board.

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