Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 8, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has averaged 7.6 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Jamal Murray has tallied 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
At home, the Jazz have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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