Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has totaled 8.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 2.2 more than he's totaled in all games this season on the road.
Jamal Murray has played 32.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
Playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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