Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Jamal Murray

NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 2:21 PM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has posted 6.0 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home.
The Nets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road, which should lead to more opportunities for the Nuggets.
Jamal Murray will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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