Jamal Murray Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jamal Murray

G · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jamal Murray Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jamal Murray has put up 7.5 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 higher than he's put up overall this season.
Jamal Murray has been on the court for 37.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 4.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season on the road.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jamal Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases player performance for all stats.