Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has successfully made 54.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 19.1% higher than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 6th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (52.6%).

Favors Under

The slowest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Nets.
The Kings have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should reduce possessions for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Kings may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
Jalen Wilson will likely suffer a reduction in output across the board due to playing away from home in this contest.

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