Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-112).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has sunk 62.4% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 9.3% more than he's sunk overall this year when playing at home.
This matchup is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, opposing squads have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the league against them this year (85.6).
The Brooklyn Nets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Wilson has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Jalen Wilson figures to see a spike in output in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's unimpressive 103.0 points per game measures as the weakest in the league over the last 10 games.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Brooklyn Nets.
The 76ers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Brooklyn Nets.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has come down with 11.3 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers (retaining possessions that can generate added opportunities for offense).
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have attempted 25.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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