Jalen Wilson Points - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Jalen Wilson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Wilson

F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Wilson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Wilson has converted 56.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 12.9% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this year while playing at home.
Jalen Wilson has averaged 26.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 7.3 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
This year, opposing squads have totaled 87.0 field goal attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The Nets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Wilson has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Brooklyn Nets's lackluster 102.3 points per game places fewest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league while on their home court this year.
The Nets are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the 6th-most sluggish pace away offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
The Grizzlies have allowed the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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