Jalen Williams Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Steals

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 15, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has averaged 1.2 steals per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric in recent games.
Jalen Williams has tallied 38.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Jalen Williams will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.3 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
The Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

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