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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2026

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder

 
 
 
Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the NBA this year (46.4%).
  • The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Thunder.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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