Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 3:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has made 9.2 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Jalen Williams has converted 61.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 14.9% higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
Jalen Williams has played 32.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 85th percentile.
With respect to scoring, the Thunder's outstanding 123.0 points per game ranks 2nd-highest in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams measures in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one; when the Spurs are on their home court, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) against the Spurs (retaining possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).
The showdown with Jeremy Sochan in regard to getting to the free-throw line measures in the 15th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting PFs attempting just 3.5 foul shots per game this year.