Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/15/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 15, 2024

Updated Jan 16, 2024 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has sunk 63.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Jalen Williams has made 69.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games, 22.5% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Jalen Williams has averaged 31.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Thunder check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games as the road team.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the league).
Jalen Williams ought to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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