Jalen Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Orlando Magic · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has converted 72.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 17.5% more than he's converted overall this season.
Jalen Williams has successfully made 76.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 29.8% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Jalen Williams lands in the 78th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 30.2 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
In terms of shooting, the Oklahoma City Thunder's fantastic 128.4 points per game ranks strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 15.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see a decline in plays today from facing the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the league) against the Magic, struggling to get to the charity stripe.