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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 12/26/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has sunk 56.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while playing at home.

Jalen Williams has tallied 31.2 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Thunder rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The Thunder have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.

Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have grabbed 8.9 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (85th percentile).

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 8th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).

The Thunder rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

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