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Jalen Williams

Jalen Williams Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jalen Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Williams has successfully made 56.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games, 26.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Warriors are at home, opposing squads have posted the 3rd-highest three percentage in the NBA against them this year (32.5%).

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.

The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Williams has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one; when the Warriors are at home, they have allowed the 4th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs over the last 15 games (14.6).

When playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games, totaling just 20.2 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. Golden State may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 3.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Warriors are playing at home (5th-least in the NBA).

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