Jalen Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 3, 2024 9:57 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has totaled 6.1 assists per game over the last 15 games while on the road, 1.0 more than he's totaled over the course of the season on the road.
Jalen Williams has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 86th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely see an increase in plays today from facing the 2nd-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (89th percentile).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The Suns have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance across the board.