Jalen Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -138 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has put up 7.1 assists per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 1.9 more than he's put up over the course of the year on the road.
Jalen Williams has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile.
The 9th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Thunder.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should raise possessions for the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Pistons have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Williams has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Williams ought to experience a decrease in productivity across the board as a result of being on the road in this contest.

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