Jalen Williams Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Jalen Williams

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Williams

G-F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Williams Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Williams has compiled 6.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 2.3 more than he's compiled over the course of the season on the road.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams places in the 84th percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.1 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player performance across the board.

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