Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs LA Clippers · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has successfully made 52.5% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Jalen Suggs has converted 2.2 three-pointers per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a favorable one for field goals; when the LA Clippers are on the road, opposing starting PGs have shot for the 7th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.6%).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 9th-best in in the NBA as the home team with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Jalen Suggs has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs comes in at the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Magic check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games playing at home.
The Orlando Magic are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league this year (the Clippers).

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