Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has sunk 57.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Jalen Suggs has successfully made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's sunk in all games this year at home.
The Magic will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the fastest tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic rank 9th-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Jalen Suggs will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the season at home.
The Magic have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Toronto is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Raptors are away from home, opposing starting PGs have posted the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (23.6%).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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