Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 28, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has converted 55.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.2% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
Jalen Suggs has made 2.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's sunk overall this season while on his home court.
The matchup against Brooklyn is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Brooklyn Nets are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 30th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (3.5).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Magic rank 8thbest in in the NBA while at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The Brooklyn Nets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (92nd percentile).
With respect to shooting, the Magic's unimpressive 109.9 points per game playing at home comes in as the 4th-weakest in the league over the last 15 games.
The least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Magic.

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