Jalen Suggs Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 7:02 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Los Angeles Lakers are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (6.6).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Orlando Magic grade out 5thbest in in the league away from home with 11.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Jalen Suggs will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs registers in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.3 fouls per game while playing away from home since the start of last season.
In regard to scoring, the Magic's subpar 111.2 points per game ranks 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The Magic have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year.
Since the start of last season, the other team has snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (4th-highest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers (continuing possessions that can result in further opportunities for offense).
The matchup against Los Angeles is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season when the Los Angeles Lakers are away from home (12th-least in the NBA).