Jalen Suggs Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has converted 4.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Jalen Suggs has averaged 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's averaged overall this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 8.8 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).
The Magic rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs ought to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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