Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 3, 2024

Updated May 3, 2024 7:06 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+142/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has posted 4.4 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.3 more than he's posted overall this season at home.
Jalen Suggs has averaged 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.3 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Jalen Suggs will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Suggs slots into the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a massive 2.6 fouls per game when playing at home this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from competing against the 6th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
The Magic rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).