Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 9:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has totaled 2.9 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Jalen Suggs has played a terrific 27.4 minutes per game this season, a significant increase from his 23.0 minutes per game last season.
The Orlando Magic are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Magic grade out 9thbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Magic have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
While at home, the Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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