Jalen Suggs Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Jalen Suggs

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Suggs

G · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 11, 2023 6:04 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Suggs Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+106/-137).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Suggs has averaged 5.4 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year at home.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Suggs will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Suggs has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (95th percentile).
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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