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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers

Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Smith has made 5.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's made overall this year.

Compared to last year's 25.4% rate, Jalen Smith's three-point effectiveness has surged this year to 53.1%.

The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year, opposing clubs have shot 39.7% on threes (highest in the league) vs. the Hornets, creating a favorable matchup.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

As a team, the Pacers have been poor at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the NBA over the last 5 games, averaging a lowly 16.6 foul shots per game.

This matchup is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team has attempted a whopping 23.2 foul shots per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Jalen Smith will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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