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Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith Points
Player Prop - 1/30/2024

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Jalen Smith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last season's 45.9% clip, Jalen Smith's field goal effectiveness has risen this season to 67.1%.

Jalen Smith has converted a whopping 54.4% of his three-pointers this year, a big improvement over his 25.4 mark last year.

This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing clubs have posted the 2nd-lowest Field Goal% in the league against them this year (44.6%).

The speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Celtics).

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (maintaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

In regard to drawing fouls, the Pacers's feeble 20.9 foul shots per game places 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Jalen Smith will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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