Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 12:36 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has converted 7.1 shots made from the field per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 35.7 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest tempo in the league as the home team this year.
The Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted overall this year.

Favors Under

The Hawks rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

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