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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has converted 57.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.1% higher than he's converted overall this season.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 36.4 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).

The Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to three-point attempts, the 8th-least aggressive team in the NBA while at home over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.

Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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