Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 11:05 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has made 9.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 more than he's converted in all games this season.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 36.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 96th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 10th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Bucks).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).
Jalen Johnson stands to see a decline in productivity for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.