Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 4:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has sunk 8.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's put through the net in all games this season.
Jalen Johnson has played 36.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. New York is a positive one for three-point shots; when the New York Knicks are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (47.7%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

The Knicks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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