Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 10/30/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Oct 30, 2024

Updated Oct 30, 2024 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 6.4 field goals per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 32.9 minutes per game away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The matchup against Washington is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Wizards are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6).
The 5th-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo offense in the league since the start of last season (the Washington Wizards).

Favors Under

When it comes to scoring, the Hawks's lackluster 45.0% field goal percentage away from home ranks 4th-fewest in the NBA since the start of last season.
Jalen Johnson is expected to suffer a drop-off in production across the board considering playing on the visting team in this game.

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