Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 10/27/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Oct 27, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+106/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson registers in the 84th percentile for shots from the field scored, posting a whopping 6.3 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson registers in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.9 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to raise opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for scoring; the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (46.3%).
Jalen Johnson will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.

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