Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 11:36 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 14.8 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Jalen Johnson has converted 51.6% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 15.2% more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Johnson lands in the 92nd percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The Hawks will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pistons).
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The 10th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

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