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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has attempted 14.7 shots per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 2.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.

The matchup against Utah is a positive one; when the Utah Jazz are at home, they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (24.0).

The Atlanta Hawks will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Utah Jazz).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jalen Johnson has attempted 2.5 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.1 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Johnson has failed to convert 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this year while on the road.

Jalen Johnson has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, significantly more than his 1.6 fouls per game last season.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 11.6 converted threes per game away from their home court measures as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Hawks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Jalen Johnson ought to see a decline in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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