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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 3/6/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has attempted 14.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 34.3 minutes per game this year.

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).

With respect to shots from downtown, the Hawks's subpar 34.8% rate of converted threes measures as the 4th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.

This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled 13.5 points per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.

The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team (15th-least in the NBA).

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