Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz · Feb 27, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 8:35 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 14.9 shots from the field per game over the last 15 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Jalen Johnson has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a positive one for threes; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.4).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Jazz have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should raise opportunities for the Atlanta Hawks.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (89th percentile).
As it relates to offense, the Hawks's poor 44.3% field goal rate rates 5th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has snagged 11.8 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz (retaining possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).