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Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jalen Johnson has attempted 14.6 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jalen Johnson has tallied 38.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the other team has captured 7.4 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (89th percentile).

In terms of treys, the Hawks's subpar 35.4% rate of made threes while on their home court settles in as the 5th-worst in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.5).

The Atlanta Hawks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

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