Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 11:52 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has sunk an impressive 6.0 baskets per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 2.3 rate last season.
Jalen Johnson has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Mavericks is a good one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.

Favors Under

In terms of 3-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 33.1% rate of drained threes settles in as the worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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