Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 2.3 mark, Jalen Johnson's shots sunk have risen this season to 5.6 per game.
Jalen Johnson has tallied 29.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 76th percentile.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (25th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, creating a positive matchup.
The Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Hawks are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from competing against the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Kings, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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