Jalen Johnson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 11, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 49.6% mark, Jalen Johnson's scoring prowess has increased this season to 60.7%.
Jalen Johnson has converted a terrific 1.0 three-pointers per game this season, significantly higher than his 0.4 rate last season.
In comparison to last season's 14.0 rate, Jalen Johnson's playing time has surged this season to 29.6 minutes per game.
The Hawks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA while playing away from home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Hawks.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 1.6 clip, Jalen Johnson's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.6.
When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league since the start of last season has been the Hawks.
The matchup against Miami is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Heat are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (26.8%).

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