Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/26/2024

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks · Jan 26, 2024

Updated Jan 27, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -750 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has attempted 4.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Johnson places in the 86th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 32.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.2).
The Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely get a boost in possessions today from facing the 2nd-fastest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jalen Johnson comes in at the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
In terms of 3-point shots, the Atlanta Hawks's poor 33.1% rate of drained threes settles in as the worst in the league over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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