Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -235 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 28.4% clip, Jalen Johnson's 3-point effectiveness has surged this year to 38.5%.
Jalen Johnson has averaged a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 14.0 minutes per game last year.
The Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have snagged 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.6 fouls per game last year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing squads have shot 38.1% on 3-pointers (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, creating a positive matchup.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 3.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nets, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.

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