Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Jalen Johnson

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 7:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has successfully made 38.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
Jalen Johnson has played a whopping 14.4 minutes per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 4.8 minutes per game last year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league over the last 20 games (31.2%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.
The Celtics have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production for all stats.

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