Jalen Johnson Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jalen Johnson

F · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 7:01 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Johnson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +101 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Johnson has tallied 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The Wizards have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost possessions for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Johnson will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jalen Johnson has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's been called for overall this year.
Away from home, the Wizards have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).