Jalen Green Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2023

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Rebounds

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-144).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -144.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jalen Green has put up 4.2 defensive rebounds per game this year at home, putting him among the hottest players in the league by this standard in recent days: 81st percentile.
Jalen Green has been on the court for 34.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which can also produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Green will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jalen Green has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
On the road, the Jazz have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer [OPPORTUNITIES_CHANCES] for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA since the start of last season, which ought to reduce plays for the Jazz.

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