Jalen Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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Jalen Green

NBA · Player Props

Jalen Green

G · Houston Rockets

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 18, 2024 1:10 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 7.4 rate, Jalen Green's three-point attempts have surged this year to 8.9 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Green lands in the 80th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.9 minutes per game this year.
The 8th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).
The Houston Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jalen Green has missed 10.9 field goal attempts per game this year, quite a bit more than his 9.4 mark last year.
In terms of offense, the Rockets's subpar 105.6 points per game while playing away from home ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 10.6 shot attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Bulls, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The matchup vs. the Bulls is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.7 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
Jalen Green will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance across the board.

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